Tennis Betting Strategies
Strategy for tennis betting – basic rules at analysis of the statistics
Tennis pledges at bookmakers require a special approach. In contrast to football and basketball, where the team play is of importance, tennis players alone present themselves and the outcome of the match depends on them only. That is why, the „rules of the game“ here are different.
But not all is so hard, as it may look at first sight. The most important thing is to investigate the statistics carefully prior the match.
Strategy for tennis matches pledges
The whole content and easy navigation to it:
Take into consideration the statistics
Position in the official ranking
What is the physical form (shape) of tennis players?
Have they enough motivation?
What is the court flooring?
Statistics of the personal matches
Main errors (delusions) at analyzing the tennis matches
For your correct tennis prognosis, do not forget some of the rules and follow them carefully:
At tennis pledges – the most important thing is the statistics
Within the range of the individual approach at tennis pledges, one should take into consideration the following set of parameters:
Position in the official ranking
However, even the difference in ranking not always explicitly defines the winner in the match. For example, with men, apart from the commonly accepted leaders, there could be underlined several dozens of prestigious sportsmen, that could seriously strain the nervous of their competitors too. However, with women in the first tens, the serious difference in positions very often gives a solid difference in the game.
Physical shape of tennis players
You have to watch the last matches about this, as just this will help you define the optimum physical condition. Many of tennis players play in series – the heat of wins could bring sequence of mishaps and vice versa. This is noticed very well at the approach in the end of the tennis season, when the already tired favourites meet competitors of lower class, but in better shape. So, the orientation only per the name of the competitor often means making a wrong choice;
Sportsmen play tennis almost during the whole year, but the basic aims for each one of them are the tournaments from the Grand slam. There maybe, they all play without presents and at full strength first, for the prestige of the tournament and the reliable prize fund. Tennis tournaments of the series Masters – also are a good motivation; but in the smaller tournaments often we should not expect full devotion;
What is the flooring of the court in question?
This factor has a direct influence on the play process. The fastest courts – grass flooring having stronger rebound, gives advantage of those sportsmen who prefer the strong remote shots and powerful passing. On the contrary to the grass, you may examine the ground – in this case advantage will have the ones preferring to move fast on the court. We add here the personal preferences of the separate sportsmen, and we will get quite important factor that should be taken into consideration;
Statistics of personal matches
All tennis players have unsuitable for them competitors – game with them is difficult and often the unsuccessful series continue from match to match. However, it is useless for you to underestimate this factor, as there is a chance for each series to be interrupted – maybe it is a match you intend to pledge on.
Basic errors and negligence at analyzing the tennis matches
Many of those that make sport pledges are interested in such events, as tennis. This type of sport has gathered in itself a great number of spectacular and fascinating components –reaction of sportsmen, shot strength, precision, high speed – that attracts the attention of the fans. Some confrontations provoke passions and a storm of emotions, and if you make pledges on tennis, then it is necessary to take into consideration a number of fine points and nuances, as otherwise the financial losses could not be avoided. Let us discuss the most typical errors, connected with tennis.
Delusion 1: Tennis player plays equally well during the whole season. If you prefer to pledge on the effectiveness of some tennis players, then you have to take into consideration that in tennis the appearances are held as per a certain schedule of tournaments, which is defined by the tennis association. And the schedule of these competitions is rather consistent – so that the strength of the player is defined here – he must learn how to share out his own strength, walking on his own route. But it is completely apparent that the identical stability at this game during the whole year does not work out. At that, on the various sport competitions, sportsmen prepare on different ways; it is clear that it is rather difficult to predict the mood of the contestant and his attitude to a separate tournament and here in support comes the data from previous years. After you examine the statistical data of a certain contestant, then you may understand how exactly the schedule will be worked out for the travel, where the tennis player will manifest himself fully, as well as what is the previous tournament and so on. That is why you should simply visit the special statistical sites, where you can find the entire necessary information.
Delusion 2: Tennis player is not interested in the flooring he would play on. In fact, the game of some sportsmen seriously differs depending on the flooring. Among the most popular ones are the so called „hard“ (solid surface), „ground“ – clay covering has different varieties (some coverings with more predictable ricochet of the ball), „grass“ (up to what extent the covering complicates the ricochet of the ball). In fact, the readjustment from one covering to another is rather difficult and tennis players feel differently on the different coverings. So, it is good for you to understand how good is the sportsman on one or another covering, and how poor is his competitor – so here again one cannot do without statistics.
Delusion 3: Tennis players come to the tournament because of the victory only. But not always the player comes to the leading tournaments to win only. In fact, as already has been said, effectiveness is not equally good for each tournament, but due to the particular system for calculation of points in the concluding rank list, tennis player should participate in the leading tournaments from the Great slam, and also in the tournaments from „Masters “ series. Apart from that, these tennis players who enter the ranking of the main scheme should appear at least on the first laps, otherwise deduction of points maybe expected. Usually, if for a player the tournament is obligatory, then he will always play with full strength, especially in view of the fact that profits will be quite solid, even for outcome in the second round, to say nothing of a victory. But if for the player prior the obligatory tournament a selection is made, there the tennis player may not give all his strength either, as he pays greater attention to the big competitions. One moment more – this is the necessity of acclimatization – as the tournaments are carried out on different continents, and the rest between them is relatively little, it is difficult for the player to accommodate to the new conditions.
As a summary, we would say that tennis pledges are difficult for making and the factors indicated above should be obligatory taken into consideration, if you want to play and win money!
Systems and strategies of successful tennis bettings
Principles: Annual calendar of the round
Professional tennis round of men is divided into several levels of tournaments. The highest in the hierarchy are the four tournaments from the Great slam – Australia open, Roland Garros, Wimbledon and US open championship – since they bring twice as many points from the second batch of events – Masters 1 000 series.
Winning of tournament from the slam would bring you 2 000 points for the rank list, and Masters 1 000 series – as their name suggests –they bring 1 000 points each. Masters series are nine throughout the year, and in them all the best tennis players always participate. To these nine tournaments, one could add the event World Tour Finals too, in which the best eight players of the current season could participate.
After that, ATP 500 and ATP 250 events come, along with the matches of the national teams of Davis Cup that also bring ranking points.
Still lower in the nourishing chain are Challenger events that are not broadcasted on TV, but could be found in live streaming services of bookmakers houses. They also bring ranking points, but in them young contestants take part mainly, who have successfully passed through the sieve of Future series.
The format of all these events, excluding the Great slam and Davis cup, is two out of three sets. In the Great slam and Davis cup three out of five sets are played.
Practice show that the longer the format of a tennis match is, the more profitable will be to pledge on the favourite one in it, because at the long matches we get more precise reflection of the abilities of the two tennis players. Good idea could be to attempt surprises oftener, when you pledge on matches in a format two out of three sets.
Bookmakers offer different types of pledges for the various types of events, and the bigger an event is the greater the number of types of pledges will be presented for it.
Tournament: Winner in the tournament (in the bigger events there are other markets too as – to reach the final, progress of player, winners in forth finals and etc.).
Match: Winner, pledges for sets, total games, set handicap, game handicap, number of sets, to win a set? the greatest number of aces and etc.
One of the possibilities for tennis pledges is Eurofootball, where you may make tennis pledges on live. Another good option is Bet365, where you may follow the actual tennis prognosis for today too.
Match betting strategies
There are number of factors, you will have to think over, prior setting a tennis market pledge, a factor number one is to assess if there is a value in the pledge. Do you pledge on the correct coefficient? It is not enough to tell yourself that a certain player will win – he must be placed on the correct coefficient. Blind pledges for Rafael Nadal at 1.02 coefficient apparently would not bring profit in long-term plan. You could look in Google for the best tennis prognosis or systems for tennis pledges.
Of course, there are moments when 1.10 for Nadal in the first round of Roland Garros against a competitor outside the top 300 on the World rank list, could bring positive expected value, but in the general case this type of coefficients do not deserve the risk in matches where there is not a reason to expect the motivation of the favourite will be on the highest level. For example an indoor tournament a week after an event from the Great slam because then the motivation factor quite intelligibly will be on a very low level.
As we are going to give examples with Rafa, he often fails quickly on grass tournaments, held after Roland Garros. He is also often vulnerable in the end of the season at small tournaments, when the great tournaments are knocking on the door and his attention is directed toward them. This is valid for most of the top players.
There are other motivation factors that should be taken into consideration. When a tournament is played in the native country or native town of a tennis player, he often manifests himself better there, than elsewhere. Such is the case of Bernard Tomic in Australia, John Isner in America, David Ferer of his home tournament in Valencia and etc. The personal life and events from it also have influence on the motivation. Lukas Rosol for example has won his first ATP tour exactly after the death of his father. Coefficient of the czech then has been 101.00.
Most of the tennis players are constantly pursued by some pains and often it is useful to look at their forthcoming schedule, in order to assess to what extent they would give all their strength in the concrete tour.
On reasons understandable, the players are the freshest in the beginning of the year, and the fatigue and contusions accumulate in the course of the round. Generally speaking, if a player has had a long week and after that he had to travel a long distance for an event from the next week, there is a good chance for him to fail in manifesting the best from him.
Another extremely important factor in court tennis is the flooring of the court. The fact that a player has defeated Rafa Nadal on hard court is far from meaning that he will succeed to defeat him on clay too.
There is not any player in the world, playing equally well on any type of flooring – each one has his own favourite type of court.
Do not forget that there are differences in the flooring even on one and the same type of courts. There are even notions “quick hard court”, and “slow hard court
Weather is an obvious factor in open matches, because wind could make big havoc on the ball trajectory, to which the different players succeed adapting at a different extent. On principle, players with high ball throw at servicing as Tomas Berdych are in unsuitable position. Also, on wind the defensive players have a certain advantage before the more aggressive ones.
One against another
Important, although sometimes misleading, is the statistics from the previous matches between the two players. The more recent the matches are, the more valuable is the information given, as the things change many times in the course of the seasons. Grigor Dimitrov for example accumulated unpleasant negative balance against some players in the beginning of his career, but suddenly in a moment he has already been a favourite against them and has defeated them easily.
Left-handed players present different and difficult challenge for the right-handed ones. It is always worth checking prior your future pledge, if the competitor of the left-handed player has had a success in past duels against such players. Such information you could easily find in the sites for tennis statistics. Against left-handed players the play is completely more different and not all succeed to accommodate to it.
Pledges on a winner in a tour
The other main variant for tennis pledges, apart from pledges on separate matches is for you to predict the champion of the tournament. History remembers not a few, very interesting cases, apart from that of Lucas Rosol, we have mentioned about above. In 2013 for example, Marion Bartoli won Wimbledon at 680.00 coefficient, in Betfair. On market exchange for pledges Betfair you may set “against” pledges too, which means that if you deem that the favourite would not reach the title, you may pledge “against” his champion title, i.e. that he will not be the winner of it. It is a good strategy for pledges at ATP 250 and ATP 500 tours, where the motivation of favourites often is under question.